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澳5计划(www.eth0808.vip):Mixed fortunes for banks

澳5计划(www.eth0808.vip):Mixed fortunes for banks

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PETALING JAYA: The banking sector is expected to benefit from a continued demand for financing amid the reopening of the economy post-Covid-19 this year although downside risks including rising interest rates could hamper demand.

Generally, loans are still expected to grow at a decent rate.

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TA Research, in a banking sector update, said on the whole, it reiterates its “overweight” stance on the banking sector, as the momentum in domestic economic activities remains intact, spurring demand for financing activities.

“We continue to foresee earnings in 2023 to be supported by more robust year-on-year loan growth, a rising interest rate environment, a healthier asset quality outlook as borrowers under a targeted repayment assistance resume repayment, resumption of dividend payouts and ample capital and liquidity reserves in the banking system,” it said in a report to clients.

“Potential downside risks in 2023 include uncertainty surrounding the ongoing geopolitical tensions, rising competition, the impact of growing inflationary pressures, and rising interest rates posing challenges for the sector,” it added.

It pointed out loan growth paced up healthily in 2022.

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“We foresee demand for financing to remain buoyant in 2023. We also anticipate that banks may be more willing to boost financing activities now that the macroeconomic outlook has improved, asset quality risks are mild, and the system is flush with capital and liquidity.”

For 2023, the research house is expecting a stronger loan growth of 6.7%, underpinned by an increase of 6.5% and 7.1% for consumer and business loans.

“We project net interest income to grow by 3.4% in 2023 and contributions from Islamic banking operations to rise faster by 8.4%.

“The increases will be underpinned by prospects of healthier loan/financing growth and slight expansion in net interest margin (NIM). Despite opportunities for wider margins due to further policy rate hikes, we reiterate that banks will restart competition for loans while competition for deposits remains intense, thus putting some pressure on NIM expansion,” it said.

Although there was some easing on a month-on-month basis possibly due to concerns over the general election, annual business loan applications and approvals continued to rise substantially, rebounding from 2020 and first half of 2021 declines.

“Business loans are on an upward trajectory, indicating improved growth for the segment over the next six to 12 months.

“Additionally, corporate loan approval rates broadened to an average rate of 60% in October 2022, versus 48% in 2021 and 46% in 2020. Meanwhile, the approval rates for consumer loans also widened to 45% in October 2022 from 40% a year ago and 41% in 2020.

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